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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Donald Trump | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Vladimir Putin | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Melania Trump | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Xi Jinping | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| JD Vance | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Javier Milei | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Barack Obama | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Keir Starmer | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Giorgia Meloni | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Dasha Nekrasova | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Narendra Modi | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 545d |  GollumGekko | Xi Jinping | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,279 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 545d |  brodiaga | Vladimir Putin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,498 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 545d | LBZone | Xi Jinping | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,220 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 545d | LBZone | JD Vance | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,969 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 545d | rwo | Joe Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,298 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 545d | rwo | Keir Starmer | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,660 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 545d |  AgricultureSecretary | Giorgia Meloni | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,575 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 545d | M888 | Javier Milei | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,675 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 545d |  Wickier | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,095 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 545d | Wickier | Melania Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,684 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 546d | brodiaga2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,365 | +$17 +0.3% | 4 |
| 546d | GollumGekko | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,247 | +$16 +0.7% | 4 |
| 546d |  Car | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,977 | +$23 +0.8% | 4 |
| 547d |  UwO | Melania Trump | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,247 | +$108 +3.3% | 5 |
| 547d |  knrad | Keir Starmer | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$11 +1.1% | 4 |
| 547d | knrad | Javier Milei | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$12 +1.2% | 4 |
| 548d | tigercager | Melania Trump | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,659 | −$62 −3.7% | — |
| 548d | Itheran | Joe Biden | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $18,820 | −$12,546 −67% | — |
| 548d | Itheran | Joe Biden | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $18,507 | +$12,861 +69% | 6 |
Pope Francis' funeral has been scheduled for 4 AM ET on April 22, 2025, at St. Peter's Basilica in The Vatican. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends Pope Francis' funeral. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the commemoration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Joe Biden means the market gives it about 100%.