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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 0% | −21 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Donald Trump | 0% | −24 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Alec Baldwin | 0% | −19 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Prince Andrew | 0% | −21 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Joe Biden | 0% | −16 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Barack Obama | 0% | −26 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Michael Jackson | 0% | −18 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Jay-Z | 0% | −21 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Kevin Spacey | 0% | −28 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Howard Lutnick | 0% | −26 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Alan Dershowitz | 0% | −29 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Bill Gates | 0% | −19 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Ehud Barak | 0% | −32 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Chuck Schumer | 0% | −17 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Woody Allen | 0% | −23 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| David Copperfield | 0% | −34 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Rupert Murdoch | 0% | −25 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Tony Blair | 0% | −27 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Bill Clinton | 0% | −17 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Elon Musk | 0% | −17 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Reid Hoffman | 0% | −35 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Noam Chomsky | 0% | −31 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Mira Nair (Mamdani's Mom) | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Tom Hanks | 0% | −2 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Hillary Clinton | 0% | −20 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Leonardo DiCaprio | 0% | −2 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Stephen Hawking | 0% | −14 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Justin Trudeau | 0% | −5 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Al Gore | 0% | −26 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Quentin Tarantino | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Henry Kissinger | 0% | −7 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Zohran Mamdani | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Jamie Dimon | 0% | −9 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Anderson Cooper | 0% | −1 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| David Koch | 0% | −6 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Ellen Degeneres | 0% | −2 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Larry Page | 0% | −5 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Oprah Winfrey | 0% | −11 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Stephen Colbert | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Robert Downey Jr. | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Susie Wiles | 0% | −15 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Sean Combs | 0% | −23 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Piers Morgan | 0% | −2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Jimmy Kimmel | 0% | −5 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Bernie Sanders | 0% | −3 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Kirsten Gillibrand | 0% | −5 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Rachel Maddow | 0% | −4 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 235d |  scout6 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $21,341 | +$162 +0.8% | 20 |
| 235d |  OraculumNobius2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 236d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,739 | +$64 +2.3% | 20 |
| 237d |  ggmggn | Ehud Barak | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,318 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 237d | Anguished-Acid-StylusNew account | Joe Biden | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 237d | Anguished-Acid-StylusNew account | Anderson Cooper | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,908 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 237d | OraculumNobius | Rupert Murdoch | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,369 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 237d | OraculumNobius | Woody Allen | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,596 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 237d | OraculumNobius | Zohran Mamdani | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,683 | +$7 +0.4% | 20 |
| 237d |  Warren-Buffett | Mira Nair (Mamdani's Mom) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | +$10 +0.7% | 20 |
| 237d | OraculumNobius | Jay-Z | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,338 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 237d | OraculumNobius | Henry Kissinger | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,600 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 237d | OraculumNobius | Justin Trudeau | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | +$12 +0.7% | 20 |
| 237d | OraculumNobius | Reid Hoffman | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,780 | +$15 +0.5% | 20 |
| 237d | OraculumNobius | David Koch | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,076 | +$9 +0.4% | 20 |
| 237d | OraculumNobius | Tom Hanks | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,457 | +$7 +0.5% | 20 |
| 237d | OraculumNobius | Jamie Dimon | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,929 | +$12 +0.6% | 20 |
| 237d |  bamesjond | Howard Lutnick | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,072 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 237d | bamesjond | Al Gore | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,657 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 237d | bamesjond | Noam Chomsky | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,908 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 237d | OraculumNobius | Leonardo DiCaprio | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,109 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 237d | Trustinghorse | Bill Clinton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,119 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 237d | bamesjond | Quentin Tarantino | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,897 | +$15 +0.8% | 20 |
| 237d | bamesjond | Alan Dershowitz | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,886 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 237d | OraculumNobius | Kevin Spacey | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,793 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 237d | YoshiYamamoto2 fills | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | SellNo>99¢ | $13,210 | −$28 −0.2% | — |
| 238d | OnChainCassandra | Ellen Degeneres | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,422 | +$22 +1.6% | 20 |
| 239d | CHISCARU | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | SellNo>99¢ | $3,755 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 240d | mumps | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyYes2¢ → 0¢ | $1,009 | −$1,009 −100% | 25 |
| 240d | Aocintrude | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | SellYes3¢ → 0¢ | $1,427 | +$1,427 +100% | — |
| 240d | Pretty-SpiderNew account | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | SellYes4¢ → 0¢ | $1,199 | +$1,199 +100% | — |
| 240d | YoshiYamamoto2 fills | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $18,840 | +$1,278 +6.8% | 21 |
| 241d | CHISCARU | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$83 +6.4% | 21 |
| 242d |  ComingBack | Joe Biden | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$58 +5.3% | 20 |
| 242d | Macks2223 fills | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $255,265 | +$14,218 +5.6% | 20 |
| 242d | Macks22 | David Copperfield | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 20 |
| 242d | jlipm | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | −$73 −6.9% | — |
| 242d | Macks225 fills | Alec Baldwin | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $30,618 | +$1,570 +5.1% | 20 |
| 243d | Macks22 | Joe Biden | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | +$72 +6.4% | 20 |
| 243d | Macks22 | Jay-Z | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,397 | +$153 +6.4% | 20 |
| 243d | Macks22 | Rupert Murdoch | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,430 | +$108 +7.5% | 20 |
| 243d | Macks22 | Chuck Schumer | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,888 | +$152 +5.3% | 20 |
| 243d | Macks22 | Noam Chomsky | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,542 | +$134 +8.7% | 21 |
| 243d | Macks22 | Barack Obama | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | +$118 +9.1% | 21 |
| 244d | charliealmanack | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,328 | +$132 +9.9% | 21 |
| 244d | timelessclassics | Michael Jackson | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$133 +12% | 21 |
| 244d | Macks22 | Michael Jackson | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,161 | +$137 +12% | 21 |
| 244d | quiteimprobable | Rupert Murdoch | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$110 +10% | 21 |
| 244d | quiteimprobable | Chuck Schumer | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$108 +9.9% | 21 |
| 249d | CHISCARU | Alec Baldwin | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,251 | +$159 +13% | 20 |
ShyGuy15,500 shares
LlavesMoto1,143 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases previously unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of the listed individual between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only previously unreleased files, as of market creation, which contain novel material not previously available to the public will qualify. Documents that are merely re-released, have had redactions removed, repackaged, or newly publicized versions of already available information do not qualify. Any mention of the listed individual in connection with Jeffrey Epstein will qualify, regardless of if connected to nefarious or illegal activities. Previously unreleased files is inclusive of any written, audio, photo or video documentation (e.g., qualifying photos which depict the listed individual will count). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez means the market gives it about 0%.