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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Telle | 36% | −2 pts | −5 pts | 3¢ · 68¢ (65¢) | — | in 818d |
| Sean Parnell | 19% | — | — | 16¢ · 22¢ (6¢) | — | in 818d |
| Marc Andersen | 14% | +1 pts | +2 pts | 5¢ · 24¢ (19¢) | — | in 818d |
| W. Jordan Gillis | 10% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 19¢ (17¢) | — | in 818d |
| Brian Mast | 8% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 4¢ · 12¢ (8¢) | — | in 818d |
| Michael Obadal | 8% | — | +1 pts | 6¢ · 10¢ (4¢) | — | in 818d |
| Brent Ingraham | 6% | — | — | 2¢ · 9¢ (7¢) | — | in 818d |
| Charles Young III | 4% | — | — | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | in 818d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
DuneMentat11 shares
youtube-trader34 sharesThis market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 36¢ for Adam Telle means the market gives it about 36%.