| Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 498 | 2¢ → >99¢ | $497 | +$488 +5049% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 360 | 39¢ → 98¢ | $352 | +$211 +151% |
| Will John Cornyn endorse Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate Election?Ends in 12d | No | 261 | 33¢ → 91¢ | $236 | +$150 +174% |
| Will Juventus qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?Ends in 235d | Yes | 580 | 28¢ → 39¢ | $226 | +$64 +39% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 140 | 63¢ → 91¢ | $128 | +$40 +46% |
| Will Ousainou Darboe win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?Ends in 43d | No | 169 | 20¢ → 74¢ | $124 | +$91 +267% |
| Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 100k?Ends in 70d | No | 159 | 8¢ → 72¢ | $114 | +$101 +789% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 183 | 13¢ → 61¢ | $111 | +$88 +376% |
| Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 106 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $100 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 124 | 73¢ → 79¢ | $97 | +$6 +7.0% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 100 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $95 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?Ends in 71d | Yes | 113 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $94 | +$9 +10% |
| Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?Ends in 4d | No | 272 | 24¢ → 33¢ | $88 | +$23 +35% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 295 | 25¢ → 28¢ | $84 | +$10 +13% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 223 | 13¢ → 38¢ | $84 | +$55 +188% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 105 | 61¢ → 76¢ | $80 | +$16 +25% |
| Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 87 | 64¢ → 91¢ | $79 | +$23 +42% |
| Will Ryan Peterson win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 90 | 72¢ → 84¢ | $76 | +$11 +17% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 274 | 32¢ → 28¢ | $75 | −$12 −14% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,062 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $74 | +$47 +171% |
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 575 | 9¢ → 13¢ | $72 | +$19 +36% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 80 | 41¢ → 89¢ | $71 | +$39 +119% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 90 | 81¢ → 80¢ | $71 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31?Ends in 80d | Yes | 104 | 27¢ → 68¢ | $70 | +$43 +153% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.89% in October?Ends in 9d | No | 80 | 53¢ → 88¢ | $70 | +$28 +67% |
| Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?Ends in 12d | No | 80 | 75¢ → 83¢ | $66 | +$6 +11% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 82 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $65 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 167 | 24¢ → 39¢ | $65 | +$25 +60% |
| Will Peyz win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?Ends in 37d | Yes | 683 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $65 | −$10 −14% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 71 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $65 | −$0 −0.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 24d | Yes | 128 | 16¢ → 50¢ | $63 | +$43 +205% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 79 | 32¢ → 80¢ | $63 | +$38 +148% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 79 | 71¢ → 80¢ | $62 | +$7 +12% |
| Will Haniff Hoosen be the next mayor of eThekwini?Ends in 13d | No | 80 | 65¢ → 78¢ | $62 | +$10 +20% |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?Ends in 9d | No | 78 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $62 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 85 | 19¢ → 73¢ | $62 | +$45 +276% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 83 | 66¢ → 74¢ | $61 | +$7 +12% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?Ends in 4d | Yes | 100 | 56¢ → 61¢ | $61 | +$5 +9.3% |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 80 | 17¢ → 75¢ | $60 | +$47 +347% |
| Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?Ends in 251d | Yes | 125 | 48¢ → 46¢ | $57 | −$4 −6.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?Ends in 160d | No | 92 | 62¢ → 61¢ | $56 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 801d | Yes | 200 | 26¢ → 28¢ | $56 | +$4 +7.7% |
| Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 310 | 8¢ → 18¢ | $56 | +$31 +125% |
| Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft?Ends in 71d | No | 58 | 56¢ → 97¢ | $56 | +$24 +73% |
| Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 15?Ends in 27d | No | 80 | 30¢ → 70¢ | $56 | +$32 +134% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 130 | 1¢ → 43¢ | $55 | +$54 +6983% |
| Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Ends in 159d | Yes | 1,111 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $55 | −$43 −44% |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 64 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $54 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 493 | 9¢ → 11¢ | $54 | +$8 +17% |
| Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 83 | 15¢ → 65¢ | $54 | +$41 +332% |
| Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire before the midterms?Ends in 11d | No | 60 | 69¢ → 89¢ | $53 | +$12 +28% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 110 | 53¢ → 48¢ | $53 | −$5 −9.4% |
| Will Brooks & Dunn win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 27d | Yes | 81 | 66¢ → 65¢ | $52 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Ends in 8d | Yes | 167 | 41¢ → 31¢ | $52 | −$17 −24% |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T?Ends in 435d | No | 61 | 70¢ → 83¢ | $50 | +$7 +17% |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 255 | 9¢ → 20¢ | $50 | +$27 +117% |
| Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?Ends in 227d | No | 60 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $49 | +$2 +3.4% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 56 | 77¢ → 87¢ | $49 | +$5 +13% |
| Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 224 | 3¢ → 22¢ | $49 | +$42 +621% |
| Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | No | 300 | 6¢ → 16¢ | $48 | +$30 +167% |
| Will Derek Giberson win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 185 | 3¢ → 26¢ | $48 | +$42 +765% |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 50 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $48 | +$3 +5.7% |
| Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027?Ends in 160d | No | 61 | 40¢ → 78¢ | $47 | +$23 +93% |
| Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?Ends in 77d | Yes | 57 | 56¢ → 83¢ | $47 | +$15 +47% |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $185B by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 50 | 76¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$9 +24% |
| Will it snow in Buffalo, NY by October 31?Ends in 12d | No | 60 | 45¢ → 77¢ | $46 | +$19 +71% |
| Will Amazon launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 50 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $46 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 81 | 24¢ → 56¢ | $46 | +$26 +137% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Ends in 435d | No | 51 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $45 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?Ends in 160d | Yes | 60 | 73¢ → 76¢ | $45 | +$2 +3.4% |
| Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Ends in 159d | Yes | 927 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $44 | −$11 −20% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 120 | <1¢ → 36¢ | $43 | +$43 +11950% |
| Senate control favorite on November 2?Ends in 11d | Democratic Party | 44 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $43 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 93¢ → 84¢ | $42 | −$5 −9.7% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Delcy Rodriguez by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 94 | 33¢ → 45¢ | $42 | +$11 +35% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 53 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $42 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 60 | 7¢ → 69¢ | $41 | +$37 +886% |
| Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 140 | 29¢ → 30¢ | $41 | +$1 +3.3% |
| Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 250d | No | 60 | 61¢ → 69¢ | $41 | +$5 +12% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 357 | 4¢ → 11¢ | $41 | +$25 +160% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 60 | 72¢ → 68¢ | $41 | −$3 −6.0% |
| Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 2d | No | 60 | 66¢ → 68¢ | $41 | +$1 +2.3% |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Ends in 70d | Yes | 897 | 2¢ → 5¢ | $40 | +$23 +134% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 207 | 20¢ → 20¢ | $40 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 129d | Yes | 103 | 45¢ → 39¢ | $40 | −$6 −12% |
| Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 5d | No | 75 | 26¢ → 53¢ | $40 | +$20 +104% |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?Ends in 174d | No | 78 | 59¢ → 51¢ | $40 | −$6 −14% |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.75B by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 50 | 93¢ → 79¢ | $40 | −$7 −15% |
| Will Oregon Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?Ends ended | Yes | 185 | 12¢ → 21¢ | $39 | +$17 +74% |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?Ends in 174d | Yes | 82 | 45¢ → 48¢ | $39 | +$2 +5.6% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 69¢ → 76¢ | $38 | +$3 +9.8% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Ends in 2d | No | 102 | 39¢ → 37¢ | $38 | −$2 −5.7% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Ends in 251d | No | 51 | 82¢ → 74¢ | $37 | −$4 −10% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.86% in October?Ends in 9d | No | 46 | 26¢ → 81¢ | $37 | +$25 +208% |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $55B by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 50 | 73¢ → 75¢ | $37 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 50 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $37 | +$2 +5.7% |
| Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 38d | Yes | 219 | 4¢ → 17¢ | $37 | +$28 +346% |
| Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 48 | 87¢ → 76¢ | $36 | −$5 −13% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 60 | 66¢ → 61¢ | $36 | −$3 −8.3% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 177 | 7¢ → 20¢ | $36 | +$23 +180% |
