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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Cotrim de Figueiredo | 0% | −34 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| André Ventura (CH) | 100% | +26 pts | +34 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) | 0% | −3 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| António José Seguro (IND) | 100% | +10 pts | +39 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) | 0% | −3 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joana Amaral Dias (ADN) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manuel João Vieira | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Humberto Correia | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Catarina Martins | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jorge Pinto | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| André Pestana (IND) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| António Filipe (PCP) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manuela Magno (IND) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Raul Perestrello (IND) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| José Cardoso (PLS) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vitorino Silva (IND) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Orlando Cruz (IND) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aristides Teixeira (IND) | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tim Vieira (IND) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ângela Maryah (IND) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 278d |  0xDi | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,063 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | godeye | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $3,977 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | murteiro99 | André Ventura (CH) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,710 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 278d |  knrad | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $3,035 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 278d |  sataima13 | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $3,335 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | Vmarcos | João Cotrim de Figueiredo | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,301 | −$22 −0.5% | — |
| 278d |  DonAntimatter | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $4,864 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 278d |  Wagner275738 | André Ventura (CH) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,398 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | widheji | João Cotrim de Figueiredo | SellNo>99¢ | $2,383 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 278d | REAL.BADMAN | André Ventura (CH) | SellYes>99¢ | $8,051 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | ForFamily | Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,098 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 278d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,471 | +$16 +0.4% | 10 |
| 278d | Futurologist | André Ventura (CH) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,031 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 278d | 0x1f25…21a4 | Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,455 | −$19 −0.6% | — |
| 278d | 0x1f25…21a4 | André Ventura (CH) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,436 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 278d |  estrume | João Cotrim de Figueiredo | SellNo>99¢ | $2,291 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 278d |  net-50CUT | João Cotrim de Figueiredo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,190 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 278d | LoyalToGrind | André Ventura (CH) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,435 | −$13 −0.9% | — |
| 278d | tutrucks9 fills | João Cotrim de Figueiredo | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $38,930 | +$5,449 +14% | 10 |
| 278d | Lisbonnero | André Ventura (CH) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,501 | −$23 −0.9% | — |
| 278d |  Leonid-Sport2 fills | João Cotrim de Figueiredo | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $6,388 | +$564 +8.8% | 10 |
| 278d | tutrucks | André Ventura (CH) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,955 | −$30 −1.0% | — |
| 278d | meropi | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,297 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 278d | Coordinated-Leather | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 278d | hollyber | João Cotrim de Figueiredo | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,292 | +$106 +1.0% | 10 |
| 278d | tutrucks | André Ventura (CH) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,788 | +$19 +1.0% | 10 |
| 278d | knrad | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,274 | +$5 +0.4% | 10 |
| 278d | Simplistic-Adverb | João Cotrim de Figueiredo | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | −$148 −9.2% | — |
| 278d |  TealV | João Cotrim de Figueiredo | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,947 | +$147 +7.6% | 10 |
| 278d | jocpolitic | André Ventura (CH) | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $5,039 | +$443 +8.8% | 10 |
| 278d | 1904 | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$96 +6.4% | 10 |
| 278d | Simplistic-Adverb | João Cotrim de Figueiredo | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | +$597 +52% | 10 |
| 278d | scrapbook | João Cotrim de Figueiredo | SellYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,932 | +$1,932 +100% | — |
| 278d |  chefepanda3 fills | João Cotrim de Figueiredo | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $5,013 | +$2,065 +41% | 10 |
| 278d | Real-Advertisement | Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$88 +1.8% | 10 |
| 278d | lava-lava2 fills | André Ventura (CH) | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $6,498 | +$2,736 +42% | 10 |
| 278d |  zthunderfury | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,737 | +$151 +8.7% | 10 |
| 279d | AZwater | Catarina Martins | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,498 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 279d | Vmarcos | João Cotrim de Figueiredo | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,322 +44% | 10 |
| 279d | AZwater | Humberto Correia | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,260 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 279d | AZwater | Vitorino Silva (IND) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,548 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 279d | AZwater | Aristides Teixeira (IND) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,575 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 279d | AZwater | Manuel João Vieira | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,810 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 279d | AZwater | Jorge Pinto | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,032 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 279d | hollyber | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,571 | −$429 −17% | — |
| 279d | d008 | André Ventura (CH) | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$500 +25% | 10 |
| 279d | d0082 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$451 +11% | 10 |
| 279d | hollyber2 fills | Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,581 | +$48 +1.3% | 10 |
| 279d | AZwater | José Cardoso (PLS) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,297 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 279d | HongKongMenace | Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,731 | +$146 +2.2% | 11 |
| 280d | murteiro99 | André Ventura (CH) | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $2,138 | +$575 +27% | 16 |
| 280d | Other-Mocha | André Ventura (CH) | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,728 | −$885 −32% | — |
| 280d | Other-Mocha | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,112 | −$385 −12% | — |
| 280d | Messi4ever | Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,772 | −$60 −3.4% | — |
| 280d | DonAntimatter | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,907 | +$143 +7.5% | 12 |
| 280d | hollyber2 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,009 | +$433 +11% | 13 |
| 280d | DonAntimatter | João Cotrim de Figueiredo | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,615 | −$796 −49% | — |
| 280d | sataima13 | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$338 +11% | 13 |
| 280d | hollyber2 fills | Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,183 | +$151 +2.1% | 10 |
| 280d | abed1 | André Ventura (CH) | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$470 +24% | 15 |
gopfan27,898 shares
Ryxon212,914 sharesPresidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. The two candidates with the greatest number of votes in the first round will advance to the second round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidates that qualify for the second round of this election. If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". If a candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for João Cotrim de Figueiredo means the market gives it about 0%.