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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither | 100% | +86 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Democrat | 0% | −74 pts | 0 pts | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| Republican | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 765d | Republican | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,722 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 765d | Democrat | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,876 | +$65 +0.8% | 4 | |
| 765d | Neither | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,037 | +$61 +2.0% | 4 | |
| 765d | Neither | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 765d | Republican | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,997 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 766d | hideo | Republican | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | −$573 −48% | — |
| 779d | Republican | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,424 | +$76 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 814d | hideo | Republican | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$106 +7.6% | 4 |
This is a market on predicting which candidate will receive the endorsement from the Teamsters union.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Neither means the market gives it about 100%.