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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 100% | −28 pts | 0 pts | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Robert Lighthizer | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Linda McMahon | 0% | −49 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bill Hagerty | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 703d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Linda McMahon | SellNo>99¢ | $4,004 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 703d |  MMousse | Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,597 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 703d |  AgricultureSecretary | Linda McMahon | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,502 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 703d | oVyg7f | Robert Lighthizer | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,360 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 703d | oVyg7f | Bill Hagerty | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,360 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 703d |  Car2 fills | Linda McMahon | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,585 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 703d | MMousse | Linda McMahon | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,988 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 703d | Car | Bill Hagerty | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,125 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 703d | Car | Robert Lighthizer | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,220 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 703d |  Axios | Linda McMahon | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,669 | +$11 +0.3% | 20 |
| 703d | Axios | Other | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,393 | +$60 +1.1% | 20 |
| 704d |  Erasmus. | Bill Hagerty | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | +$89 +6.4% | 20 |
| 704d | EGGGGGGGGGGGGGG | Linda McMahon | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$41 +2.0% | 20 |
| 704d | Cbarbhwux | Robert Lighthizer | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,756 | +$239 +14% | 20 |
| 704d | BreadGet | Linda McMahon | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$1,071 +104% | 20 |
| 704d | 0x2370…0e10 | Linda McMahon | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,661 | −$1,661 −100% | 20 |
| 704d | romanticpaul | Linda McMahon | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,407 | −$1,407 −100% | 20 |
| 705d |  ImJustKen | Linda McMahon | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $3,191 | −$3,191 −100% | 20 |
| 705d | ImJustKen2 fills | Linda McMahon | BuyNo23¢ → 100¢ | $3,257 | +$10,805 +332% | 26 |
| 706d | Axios | Bill Hagerty | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,522 | −$153 −2.3% | — |
| 707d | fkarasek | Linda McMahon | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $1,726 | −$1,726 −100% | 20 |
| 709d | BIGFIRE | Linda McMahon | BuyYes68¢ → 0¢ | $1,360 | −$1,360 −100% | 20 |
| 709d |  punishedgoon | Linda McMahon | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $1,173 | −$1,173 −100% | 20 |
| 711d | Axios3 fills | Bill Hagerty | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,702 | +$550 +9.6% | 20 |
| 712d | setygdrhbn | Bill Hagerty | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$180 +14% | 20 |
| 712d | setygdrhbn | Linda McMahon | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | −$1,140 −100% | 20 |
This is a market on who Donald Trump will appoint as his Commerce Secretary.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Other means the market gives it about 100%.