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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changpeng Zhao | 100% | +58 pts | +59 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sam Bankman-Fried | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ghislaine Maxwell | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Diddy | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Roger Ver | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hunter Biden | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Steve Bannon | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Edward Snowden | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Derek Chauvin | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elizabeth Holmes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Himself | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Santos | 100% | +93 pts | +94 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bob Menendez | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Do Kwon | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniel Penny | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eric Adams | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joe Exotic | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Antoine Massey | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ryan Salame | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Julian Assange | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rudy Giuliani | 100% | −1 pts | −2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Young Thug | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matt Gaetz | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Roger Stone | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d |  elmcap22 fills | Steve Bannon | BuyNo>99¢ | $74,518 | +$155 +0.2% | 20 |
| 296d | TheMayor2 fills | Sam Bankman-Fried | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,505 | −$195 −4.3% | — |
| 296d | jwp9999 | Steve Bannon | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,577 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | jwp9999 | Roger Stone | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,343 | +$21 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | jwp9999 | Eric Adams | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,271 | +$19 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | jwp9999 | Young Thug | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,204 | +$17 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d |  Flipadelphia | Himself | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,655 | +$19 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Flipadelphia | Edward Snowden | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,559 | +$19 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Flipadelphia | Matt Gaetz | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,507 | +$22 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Flipadelphia | Julian Assange | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,679 | +$21 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Flipadelphia | Daniel Penny | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,739 | +$20 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Flipadelphia | Joe Exotic | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,793 | +$20 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Flipadelphia | Derek Chauvin | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,986 | +$19 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Flipadelphia | Elizabeth Holmes | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,789 | +$21 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Flipadelphia | Roger Ver | BuyNo>99¢ | $36,127 | +$36 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Flipadelphia | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,004 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Flipadelphia | Bob Menendez | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,240 | +$20 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Flipadelphia | Hunter Biden | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,341 | +$18 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Flipadelphia | Antoine Massey | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,723 | +$19 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Flipadelphia | Do Kwon | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,694 | +$23 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Flipadelphia | Sam Bankman-Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,098 | +$21 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Flipadelphia | Diddy | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,274 | +$17 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Flipadelphia | Ghislaine Maxwell | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,832 | +$18 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Hungaje | Young Thug | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,842 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | yzibacked | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,111 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d | boppa | Sam Bankman-Fried | SellNo>99¢ | $1,506 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 297d |  beenraping | Julian Assange | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,653 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 297d | beenraping | Daniel Penny | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,653 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 297d | beenraping | Bob Menendez | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,859 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 297d | beenraping | Steve Bannon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 297d | beenraping | Joe Exotic | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,653 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 297d | Gdub2 fills | Diddy | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,065 | −$24 −0.6% | — |
| 297d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer3 | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,955 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 297d |  Istaroth3 fills | Sam Bankman-Fried | SellNo>99¢ | $8,681 | −$23 −0.3% | — |
| 297d | jwp9999 | Do Kwon | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,652 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 297d | elmcap24 fills | Sam Bankman-Fried | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,323 | +$327 +2.7% | 20 |
| 297d | elmcap2 | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,653 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 297d | elmcap2 | Himself | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,647 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 297d | elmcap22 fills | Eric Adams | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,049 | +$63 +0.7% | 20 |
| 298d |  emcor22 fills | Steve Bannon | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $73,651 | +$5,455 +7.4% | 20 |
| 298d |  mmmkay | Sam Bankman-Fried | SellNo>99¢ | $1,026 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 298d | emcor10 fills | Steve Bannon | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $33,732 | −$2,142 −6.3% | — |
| 299d | selador | Elizabeth Holmes | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,490 | −$10 −0.7% | — |
| 299d | selador | Sam Bankman-Fried | SellNo>99¢ | $3,672 | −$13 −0.3% | — |
| 299d | selador | Diddy | SellNo>99¢ | $2,786 | −$14 −0.5% | — |
| 299d |  Bro-Sigma2 fills | Sam Bankman-Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,337 | +$24 +0.4% | 20 |
| 299d |  GollumGekko | Himself | SellNo>99¢ | $1,297 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 300d | OLLIEOLLIEOLLIE | Diddy | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,869 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 300d | OLLIEOLLIEOLLIE | Hunter Biden | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,653 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 300d | jeffhardy | Ghislaine Maxwell | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,663 | −$12 −0.7% | — |
| 301d | beenraping | Ghislaine Maxwell | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,001 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 301d | beenraping2 fills | Sam Bankman-Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,096 | +$67 +0.4% | 20 |
| 301d | beenraping | Elizabeth Holmes | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,266 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 301d | llzl9d9ujfurhuer33 fills | Sam Bankman-Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,653 | +$33 +0.4% | 20 |
| 301d | QMG-CORE2 fills | Elon Musk | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,581 | +$37 +0.8% | 20 |
| 301d | jaym03 fills | Diddy | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,520 | −$55 −1.6% | — |
| 301d | GollumGekko | Himself | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,127 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 301d | jwp9999 | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,918 | +$16 +0.4% | 20 |
| 302d | rqprfmxrzr7jz | Steve Bannon | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,529 | −$28 −1.1% | — |
| 302d | glgpo8ym70u8j | Steve Bannon | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,522 | −$28 −1.1% | — |
VinnyViral88,389 shares
ciro212,729 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Changpeng Zhao means the market gives it about 100%.