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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No announcement by December 31 | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| David Malpass | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stephen Miran | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chris Waller | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kevin Hassett | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 295d | FEDchair | Kevin Hassett | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,251 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 299d |  elmcap23 fills | No announcement by December 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,315 | +$46 +0.7% | 20 |
| 303d | pako2 fills | No announcement by December 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,194 | −$58 −1.4% | — |
| 303d |  VegemiteLover | No announcement by December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,496 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 316d | wokerjoesleeper | Stephen Miran | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,690 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 316d | cigarettes | David Malpass | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,678 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 316d | cigarettes | Chris Waller | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,678 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 316d | cigarettes | Stephen Miran | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,678 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 316d | pako3 fills | No announcement by December 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,111 | +$110 +1.8% | 20 |
| 343d | grmjmh127xoej | Chris Waller | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,510 | +$15 +0.6% | 20 |
| 343d | kgrgfii062sws | Chris Waller | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,510 | +$15 +0.6% | 20 |
| 343d | ejkhrtrwncp5o | Chris Waller | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,495 | +$15 +0.6% | 20 |
| 343d | ddfkewomn9dwq | Chris Waller | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,512 | +$18 +0.7% | 20 |
| 343d | hphec910goma2 | Chris Waller | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,499 | +$18 +0.7% | 20 |
| 343d | noinrrtuafz32 | Chris Waller | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,495 | +$18 +0.7% | 20 |
| 344d | edupqmskwulof | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,525 | +$15 +0.6% | 20 |
| 344d | vpdukevabrs2b | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$15 +0.6% | 20 |
| 344d | hhtrw51djijmr | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,512 | +$18 +0.7% | 20 |
| 344d | rbpujzazp6fpy | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,507 | +$18 +0.7% | 20 |
| 344d | wvmtbdywlafu | David Malpass | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,503 | −$25 −0.7% | — |
| 344d | qffpj2c041az | David Malpass | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,507 | −$25 −0.7% | — |
| 344d | wvmtbdywlafu | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,503 | +$25 +0.7% | 20 |
| 344d | qffpj2c041az | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,507 | +$25 +0.7% | 20 |
| 344d | pdjvdmpswsk1 | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,511 | +$21 +0.6% | 20 |
| 344d | ltinrf21rrg2 | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,507 | +$21 +0.6% | 20 |
| 346d | bisioexlvk0l | David Malpass | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,492 | −$28 −0.8% | — |
| 346d | tpoan2729y13 | David Malpass | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,492 | −$28 −0.8% | — |
| 346d | bisioexlvk0l | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,492 | +$28 +0.8% | 20 |
| 346d | tpoan2729y13 | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,492 | +$28 +0.8% | 20 |
| 346d | vhvdf7yg9zq4 | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,488 | +$42 +1.2% | 20 |
| 346d | rxrwhtgql5ta | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,468 | +$42 +1.2% | 20 |
| 347d | esaz45y231thj | David Malpass | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,953 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 347d | rty769yu | David Malpass | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,216 | −$22 −1.0% | — |
| 347d | esaz45y231thj | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,955 | +$18 +0.9% | 20 |
| 347d | rty769yu | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,218 | +$20 +0.9% | 20 |
| 347d | tkyd45456w454 | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,125 | +$19 +0.9% | 20 |
| 347d | ewd56hyrtfg3 | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,048 | +$19 +0.9% | 20 |
| 347d | ukbrmjfw6nkb1 | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,515 | +$32 +0.9% | 20 |
| 347d | wfxbch1xacte | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,511 | +$32 +0.9% | 20 |
| 347d | vqdjxwlr6aj4 | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,515 | +$28 +0.8% | 20 |
| 347d | epjtohluafvs | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,519 | +$28 +0.8% | 20 |
| 347d | unnafmik2d84 | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,515 | +$36 +1.0% | 20 |
| 347d | Virtual-CrewmanNew account | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,504 | +$35 +1.0% | 20 |
| 348d | tnofbxkfz0si | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,505 | +$35 +1.0% | 20 |
| 348d | rwqehy1l59sy | David Malpass | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,507 | +$35 +1.0% | 20 |
| 349d | pleochyhwa6d | Chris Waller | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,523 | +$32 +0.9% | 20 |
| 349d | ositmeofqzfz | Chris Waller | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,513 | +$32 +0.9% | 20 |
| 349d | xfvxjnhxh32n | Chris Waller | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,518 | +$28 +0.8% | 20 |
| 349d | laffb42kvxxz | Chris Waller | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,516 | +$28 +0.8% | 20 |
| 351d | jbwgr3jy6wla | Chris Waller | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,416 | −$35 −1.0% | — |
| 351d | jbwgr3jy6wla | Chris Waller | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,408 | +$34 +1.0% | 20 |
| 351d | kvbqdyqv1ogb | Chris Waller | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,392 | +$38 +1.1% | 20 |
| 351d | qlgiupjdc7tu | Chris Waller | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,488 | +$32 +0.9% | 20 |
| 351d | awxjblewzerx | Chris Waller | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,478 | +$32 +0.9% | 20 |
| 407d | George3d6 | No announcement by December 31 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$289 +28% | 20 |
bebabeba10 sharesDonald Trump recently announced he was firing Lisa D. Cook from her position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors: https://apnews.com/article/federal-reserve-lisa-cook-trump-6fca3d2fbb54ba204cc91398e6a7b020 This market will resolve to according the next individual Donald Trump nominates or announces as a nominee to become a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors between August 26, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If Donald Trump does not announce nominee for Fed Governor within this market's timeframe, it will resolve to "No announcement by December 31". This market will resolve based on the first individual trump nominates within the established timeframe. The announcement of a specific nominee will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether that individual is later officially nominated. The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No announcement by December 31 means the market gives it about 100%.