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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kash Patel | 100% | +70 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mike Rogers | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ken Paxton | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Steve Bannon | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrew Bailey | 0% | −30 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 692d |  PleaseAlpha | Kash Patel | SellYes>99¢ | $2,174 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 692d | Ultimate-Reader | Kash Patel | SellYes>99¢ | $1,112 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 692d |  MMousse | Andrew Bailey | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,891 | +$80 +1.0% | 20 |
| 692d | cigarettes | Andrew Bailey | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 692d | cigarettes | Ken Paxton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 692d | MMousse2 fills | Kash Patel | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $12,370 | +$630 +5.1% | 20 |
| 692d |  Erasmus. | Steve Bannon | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,659 | +$13 +0.8% | 20 |
| 692d | Erasmus. | Mike Rogers | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,280 | +$87 +2.6% | 20 |
| 692d |  Axios | Kash Patel | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$68 +6.7% | 20 |
| 692d | surf | Kash Patel | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $2,155 | +$1,067 +50% | 20 |
| 697d |  BernardLHester | Kash Patel | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,146 | +$918 +43% | 20 |
| 698d | Erasmus. | Kash Patel | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $2,944 | +$915 +31% | 20 |
| 699d | Strong-Bust | Kash Patel | SellYes45¢ → 100¢ | $1,409 | −$1,706 −121% | — |
| 701d | BakktIsLive | Kash Patel | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$821 +82% | 20 |
| 703d |  SpeedTracer | Kash Patel | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $1,758 | +$1,623 +92% | 20 |
| 704d |  ImJustKen | Kash Patel | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $2,450 | −$2,450 −100% | 23 |
| 705d | Strong-Bust | Kash Patel | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,010 | +$105 +3.5% | 20 |
This is a market on who will be chosen as the next FBI Director by Trump.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kash Patel means the market gives it about 100%.