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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 100% | +12 pts | +59 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Vladimir Putin | 100% | +1 pts | −25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ursula von der Leyen | 100% | +7 pts | −12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Xi Jinping | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nicolás Maduro | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | −2 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Narendra Modi | 100% | +68 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Zohran Mamdani | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman | 0% | −1 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kim Jong Un | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ahmed Al Shara | 0% | +1 pts | −6 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Friedrich Merz | 100% | −8 pts | −7 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Claudia Sheinbaum | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Emmanuel Macron | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jerome Powell | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Andrew Tate | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jair Bolsonaro | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Keir Starmer | 100% | −2 pts | −7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Salvador Nasralla | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d | LinusB | Zohran Mamdani | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,423 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  emcor | Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman | SellNo>99¢ | $4,907 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 296d |  JaidenAnimations | Salvador Nasralla | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,036 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  ZhangMuZhi- | Nicolás Maduro | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,728 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  jesterthegoose | Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,893 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | Zohran Mamdani | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,605 | +$111 +2.4% | 4 |
| 296d | ScottyNooo | Ahmed Al Shara | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,220 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  Cloverince | Andrew Tate | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,485 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  Noooooooop2 fills | Kim Jong Un | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,691 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 296d |  Chims2 fills | Xi Jinping | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,119 | +$93 +2.3% | 4 |
| 296d | Bite-Sized-Bear | Elon Musk | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,942 | −$29 −1.5% | — |
| 296d |  arjennnnn | Elon Musk | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,917 | +$31 +0.6% | 4 |
| 296d | hollyber | Zohran Mamdani | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,792 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 296d | hollyber | Salvador Nasralla | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,860 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 296d | StudentMoney | Zohran Mamdani | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,984 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 297d |  elmcap2 | Xi Jinping | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,212 | +$22 +0.5% | 4 |
| 297d | elmcap2 | Elon Musk | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,548 | +$39 +2.5% | 4 |
| 297d | hollyber | Jair Bolsonaro | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,056 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 297d | hollyber | Kim Jong Un | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 298d | elmcap2 | Ahmed Al Shara | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,445 | +$69 +1.1% | 4 |
| 298d | elmcap2 | Nicolás Maduro | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,202 | +$93 +2.2% | 5 |
| 298d | elmcap2 | Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,230 | +$47 +2.1% | 5 |
| 299d |  a1a1 | Xi Jinping | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,568 | +$34 +2.1% | 4 |
| 299d | FlyingPlaty | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,941 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 300d |  Car | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,851 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 300d | Alabjack231 | Vladimir Putin | SellYes>99¢ | $1,054 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 300d | amused85 | Vladimir Putin | SellYes>99¢ | $3,527 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 300d |  KnureKnume | Vladimir Putin | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | −$22 −1.0% | — |
| 300d | ScottyNooo | Vladimir Putin | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,438 | +$25 +1.0% | 4 |
| 300d |  CitriniResearch | Vladimir Putin | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | −$21 −2.0% | — |
| 300d | Car | Vladimir Putin | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,368 | +$97 +4.1% | 5 |
| 300d |  Euan | Vladimir Putin | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,641 | +$208 +13% | 6 |
| 300d | Pygorean | Andrew Tate | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,710 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 300d | Pygorean | Zohran Mamdani | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$20 +1.3% | 4 |
| 300d | bc7g | Vladimir Putin | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $1,161 | +$1,603 +138% | 9 |
| 300d | elmcap2 | Zohran Mamdani | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,188 | +$67 +2.1% | 4 |
| 300d | elmcap22 fills | Jerome Powell | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,265 | +$72 +1.7% | 4 |
| 301d | Bright-ChairpersonNew account | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 18 |
| 301d |  brnascim2 fills | Nicolás Maduro | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,897 | +$123 +2.5% | 4 |
| 301d |  bbetsbetterthany | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,595 | +$579 +36% | 6 |
| 301d |  inrvoice | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$267 +19% | 5 |
| 302d |  ComingBack | Xi Jinping | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | −$50 −5.0% | — |
| 302d | emcor | Ahmed Al Shara | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,456 | +$98 +6.7% | 4 |
| 307d | Bite-Sized-BearNew account | Elon Musk | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$511 +26% | 14 |
| 308d | emcor | Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,739 | +$261 +15% | 4 |
| 309d | BigWil | Xi Jinping | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | −$126 −11% | — |
| 310d | anjin987 | Kim Jong Un | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,648 | −$19 −1.2% | — |
| 310d | BigWil | Nicolás Maduro | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,706 | +$169 +9.9% | 4 |
| 310d | Limp-Jicama | Nicolás Maduro | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,394 | +$138 +9.9% | 4 |
| 312d |  JoeMaserati | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,601 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 |
| 312d | yougotme | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,398 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 |
| 312d |  starship0903 | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,035 | +$10 +0.5% | 4 |
| 312d |  bamesjond | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,635 | +$11 +0.6% | 4 |
| 312d | ScottyNooo2 fills | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $10,072 | +$759 +7.5% | 4 |
| 312d |  Newsance | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,468 | −$55 −1.0% | — |
| 312d |  alexfunfunfun | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$13 +0.6% | 4 |
| 312d | starship0903 | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | SellYes>99¢ | $2,142 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 313d | Car | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,282 | +$13 +0.2% | 4 |
| 313d | amused85 | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,471 | −$28 −1.9% | — |
| 313d |  Grocerystore.2 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $5,004 | +$2,225 +44% | 4 |
JumperChip7,393 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between December 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Volodymyr Zelenskyy means the market gives it about 100%.