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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Warren | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thom Tillis | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bernie Sanders | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Kennedy | 100% | +4 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kevin Cramer | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chuck Schumer | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lisa Murkowski | 100% | +18 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164d | silenceOfTheLambs | John Kennedy | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,317 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 |
| 164d |  yen4u | John Kennedy | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,081 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 164d | FlyingPlaty | Chuck Schumer | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,133 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 164d | FlyingPlaty | Kevin Cramer | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,951 | +$9 +0.1% | 10 |
| 164d | FlyingPlaty | Bernie Sanders | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,470 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 164d | FlyingPlaty | Elizabeth Warren | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,731 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 178d | pako | Elizabeth Warren | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,258 | +$70 +3.1% | 10 |
| 178d |  Robbb | Bernie Sanders | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,805 | +$95 +5.3% | 10 |
| 201d |  moneymakermars | Bernie Sanders | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$71 +5.7% | 10 |
grinopro1,000 shares
legopen1,000 shares
catgrino1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Elizabeth Warren means the market gives it about 0%.