| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 900 | 37¢ → 33¢ | $293 | −$41 −12% |
| Blue wave in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 1,734 | 19¢ → 16¢ | $277 | −$54 −16% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 3,606 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $270 | −$112 −29% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | No | 810 | 40¢ → 33¢ | $263 | −$60 −18% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 3,347 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $136 | +$37 +37% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 2,367 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $115 | −$4 −3.3% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 1,337 | 10¢ → 8¢ | $107 | −$26 −20% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 920 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $106 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Blue tsunami in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 243 | 47¢ → 40¢ | $96 | −$19 −16% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 3,695 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $83 | +$31 +60% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,276 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $79 | −$63 −45% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 400 | 31¢ → 18¢ | $70 | −$53 −43% |
| Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,079 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $69 | −$53 −43% |
| Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?Ends in 250d | Yes | 92 | 40¢ → 70¢ | $64 | +$27 +74% |
| Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,878 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $59 | −$71 −55% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,737 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $50 | +$20 +66% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 600 | 10¢ → 8¢ | $45 | −$16 −26% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,951 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $44 | +$8 +23% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 182 | 16¢ → 23¢ | $42 | +$13 +43% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 385 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $42 | −$1 −2.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 700 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $42 | −$19 −31% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 2,725 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $40 | +$4 +13% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 150 | 16¢ → 24¢ | $35 | +$11 +47% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 240 | 9¢ → 14¢ | $32 | +$10 +42% |
| Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,562 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $28 | +$6 +27% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 5,465 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $27 | −$34 −55% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 675 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $27 | −$28 −51% |
| Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,610 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $27 | +$5 +23% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,000 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $26 | −$19 −41% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 3,367 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $25 | −$15 −37% |
| Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,675 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $23 | +$4 +23% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 20¢ | $20 | +$12 +150% |
| Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,186 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $20 | −$15 −43% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 177 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $9 | −$0 −4.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 25 | 40¢ → 35¢ | $9 | −$1 −13% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherEnds in 11d | Yes | 5,583 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$39 −82% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 1,548 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $8 | −$5 −39% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,077 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $8 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,210 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $7 | −$17 −71% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 86 | 5¢ → 8¢ | $7 | +$2 +47% |
| Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 884 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$1 −36% |
| Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 703 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$10 −83% |
| Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 183 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −56% |
| Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 302 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$8 −95% |
| Will Mike Johnson be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 11 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −17% |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 8 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −59% |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Yale Bulldogs vs. Harvard CrimsonSettled - ready to redeem | Harvard Crimson | 2 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 791 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 299 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 56 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9,713 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$99 −100% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 516 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 189 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,557 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| William & Mary Tribe vs. Campbell Fighting CamelsSettled - ready to redeem | William & Mary Tribe | 2 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 52 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt CommodoresSettled - ready to redeem | Vanderbilt Commodores | 2 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 741 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 555 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$87 −100% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Colgate Raiders vs. Boston TerriersSettled - ready to redeem | Colgate Raiders | 4 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Cavaliers vs. RaptorsSettled - ready to redeem | Cavaliers | 2 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Texas Southern Tigers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta DevilsSettled - ready to redeem | Texas Southern Tigers | 1 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Oregon Ducks vs. USC TrojansSettled - ready to redeem | USC Trojans | 1 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| West Georgia Wolves vs. Eastern Kentucky ColonelsSettled - ready to redeem | West Georgia Wolves | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Central Arkansas Bears vs. Florida Gulf Coast EaglesSettled - ready to redeem | Central Arkansas Bears | 2 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Youngstown State Penguins vs. Oakland Golden GrizzliesSettled - ready to redeem | Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 3 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 445 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Texas Southern Tigers vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden LionsSettled - ready to redeem | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 26 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 152 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 114 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 370 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will 56 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State WildcatsSettled - ready to redeem | Baylor Bears | 2 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 44 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
