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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Nikki Haley | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Ron DeSantis | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1011d | Masteroso | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $7,236 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 1012d |  ImJustKen3 fills | Nikki Haley | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,852 | +$132 +2.7% | 4 |
| 1012d | professorx | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,548 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1012d | Melody626 | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $1,894 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 1012d | spongeee | Nikki Haley | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1012d |  taut-dogwood2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,008 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1012d | 0xb1B5674522271a4026EeB110943D6206c197C53D | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $1,329 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 1012d | vainglorious87 | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,747 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1012d | Unconscious94852 fills | Vivek Ramaswamy | SellNo>99¢ | $10,974 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 1012d | Gipa | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $2,495 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 1012d | khabib-706 | Nikki Haley | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,443 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1012d | khabib-706 | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,187 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1012d | 0xfb67afb55ab7dcaf744c67f8a25bc4a30aca4a48 | Nikki Haley | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$99 +1.4% | 4 |
| 1012d | 0xfb67afb55ab7dcaf744c67f8a25bc4a30aca4a48 | Donald Trump | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $12,524 | +$258 +2.1% | 4 |
| 1012d |  KAM | Nikki Haley | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,596 | +$79 +1.4% | 4 |
| 1012d |  50Whence2 fills | Vivek Ramaswamy | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,984 | +$30 +0.5% | 4 |
| 1012d | 50Whence3 fills | Nikki Haley | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,158 | −$343 −2.4% | — |
| 1012d |  ЈustKen2 fills | Nikki Haley | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,206 | +$63 +1.2% | 4 |
| 1012d | chph1988 | Nikki Haley | BuyYes2¢ → 0¢ | $1,134 | −$1,134 −100% | 5 |
| 1012d |  Squee2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,746 | +$99 +2.1% | 5 |
| 1013d | KAM | Donald Trump | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,458 | +$42 +1.7% | 4 |
| 1013d | Masteroso | Donald Trump | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,228 | +$43 +1.9% | 4 |
| 1013d | 0xac8db3b4afea21b73ffdc92fjk | Donald Trump | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,301 | +$104 +2.0% | 4 |
| 1013d |  WordleAddict | Vivek Ramaswamy | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,633 | +$25 +1.5% | 4 |
| 1013d | hoihoi | Donald Trump | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,544 | +$226 +2.1% | 4 |
| 1013d | borodutch | Donald Trump | BuyNo3¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | −$1,050 −100% | 14 |
| 1013d | 0xb1B5674522271a4026EeB110943D6206c197C53D | Donald Trump | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,304 | +$28 +2.1% | 5 |
| 1013d | zollar | Donald Trump | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,823 | −$77 −2.7% | — |
| 1013d | Anon5566 | Donald Trump | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,931 | +$213 +2.1% | 5 |
| 1013d |  ANudeEgg | Donald Trump | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $26,600 | −$1,051 −3.9% | — |
| 1013d | ky2349 | Vivek Ramaswamy | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$39 +1.9% | 5 |
| 1014d | 100xGamba | Vivek Ramaswamy | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,341 | +$157 +1.5% | 4 |
| 1014d | 50Whence2 fills | Nikki Haley | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$90 +2.0% | 4 |
| 1014d | nutattack69 | Donald Trump | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,034 | +$39 +1.9% | 5 |
| 1014d |  AiBets | Nikki Haley | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | −$19 −1.7% | — |
| 1014d |  truthteller3 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,142 | +$348 +4.9% | 4 |
| 1014d | Heroin-830 | Donald Trump | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$136 +2.7% | 5 |
| 1014d | professorx | Donald Trump | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,072 | −$143 −3.5% | — |
| 1014d | justalgo | Vivek Ramaswamy | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | −$23 −1.9% | — |
| 1014d | vainglorious87 | Nikki Haley | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,713 | +$123 +2.1% | 4 |
| 1014d | Gipa | Donald Trump | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,350 | +$93 +2.1% | 4 |
| 1014d | zollar | Donald Trump | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | +$47 +3.2% | 5 |
| 1015d | OLOTH | Donald Trump | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$95 +3.2% | 5 |
| 1015d |  kickstandhater2 fills | Donald Trump | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,096 | −$126 −4.1% | — |
| 1015d | AiBets | Nikki Haley | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,348 | +$52 +2.2% | 4 |
| 1015d | justalgo | Vivek Ramaswamy | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | +$24 +2.0% | 4 |
| 1015d | ANudeEgg | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $2,146 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 1016d | kickstandhater | Donald Trump | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $9,600 | +$400 +4.2% | 5 |
| 1016d |  SesameCake2 fills | Vivek Ramaswamy | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,204 | +$18 +0.4% | 4 |
| 1016d | 50Whence | Ron DeSantis | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | +$23 +1.9% | 4 |
| 1017d | Loyalty-Crash | Donald Trump | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $8,849 | +$378 +4.3% | 4 |
| 1017d | route | Nikki Haley | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | −$60 −5.2% | — |
market group on Iowa caucus winner republican
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Donald Trump means the market gives it about 100%.