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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120d | JamesBonder007 | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,721 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 121d | RingoJuJu | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,150 | +$13 +0.6% | 4 |
| 121d | CatarinaDevon | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,507 | +$9 +0.6% | 4 |
| 122d | TalibanTurtle | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,699 | +$10 +0.6% | 4 |
| 122d | mesobag | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,158 | +$7 +0.6% | 4 |
| 123d | Shimmering-Age2 fills | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,983 | +$129 +1.8% | 4 |
| 133d | whitetofu | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | −$11 −1.1% | — |
| 137d |  libratus1 | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | −$16 −1.1% | — |
| 143d | aikko | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,671 | +$42 +1.1% | 4 |
| 145d |  elmcap23 fills | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $28,237 | +$582 +2.1% | 4 |
| 158d | libratus12 fills | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,444 | +$74 +2.2% | 4 |
| 165d | Zerttrrr3 fills | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $57,174 | +$1,306 +2.3% | 4 |
| 165d | Tuzzrr3 fills | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $57,096 | +$1,404 +2.5% | 4 |
| 181d | th22 fills | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,146 | +$140 +4.4% | 4 |
| 221d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,065 | +$423 +20% | 4 |
Donintello609 shares
Jwhang20 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by a Chinese company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If a Chinese AI model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.