Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +70 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241d | Watery-Dew | Will all of Trump's children attend the State of the Union? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,225 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | vandetta | Will all of Trump's children attend the State of the Union? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,830 | −$33 −1.2% | — |
| 241d | Trustinghorse2 fills | Will all of Trump's children attend the State of the Union? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,903 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 241d | Drrocio | Will all of Trump's children attend the State of the Union? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,712 | −$105 −1.8% | — |
| 241d | vandetta | Will all of Trump's children attend the State of the Union? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,490 | +$373 +15% | 4 |
| 243d | Will all of Trump's children attend the State of the Union? | BuyNo86¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
The 2026 State of the Union address is scheduled to be held in the Chamber of the U.S. House of Representatives on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ivanka Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Eric Trump, Tiffany Trump, AND Barron Trump attend the 2026 State of the Union address. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the State of the Union address is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.