Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 30 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 31 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265d | chaosj88 | January 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,579 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 266d | chaosj88 | January 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,573 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 272d | AZwater | January 31 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$94 +8.7% | 4 |
| 329d | noneaa | November 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,430 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | November 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,418 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 348d | affs20791 | November 30 | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,855 | −$645 −23% | — |
| 350d | affs20791 | November 30 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,995 | +$505 +17% | 4 |
| 350d | BITOK | November 30 | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,510 | −$377 −25% | — |
| 350d | November 30 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,360 | +$602 +26% | 4 | |
| 364d | AdvantagePlayer | November 30 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,084 | +$355 +33% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets over 100 million views in the first 7 days after being posted between September 25 and November 30, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Videos posted within the final 7 days of this market's resolution date will qualify, and this market will remain open to allow for the full 7 days to be completed. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast’s posted YouTube videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced videos will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for November 30 means the market gives it about 0%.