Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 935d |  ImJustKen5 fills | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $28,379 | +$574 +2.0% | 20 |
| 935d | professorx6 fills | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $26,880 | +$37 +0.1% | 20 |
| 940d |  ANudeEgg | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | −$41 −3.4% | — |
| 966d |  Reini1860 | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$385 +7.7% | 20 |
| 978d | 0x46a121E4DF5FdD6CF042A4EDe1E90672583E2736 | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$215 +20% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Azerbaijan commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Armenia between February 14 and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by the Azerbaijan, Armenia, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.