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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 672d |  Car | Will Biden appoint more judges than Trump? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,572 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 672d | rpo | Will Biden appoint more judges than Trump? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,090 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 672d |  Axios | Will Biden appoint more judges than Trump? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,913 | +$18 +0.9% | 20 |
| 710d | yugfds | Will Biden appoint more judges than Trump? | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,155 | −$1,155 −100% | 20 |
| 710d | kjgfdss | Will Biden appoint more judges than Trump? | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,155 | −$1,155 −100% | 20 |
| 710d | hcuymtx | Will Biden appoint more judges than Trump? | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,155 | −$1,155 −100% | 20 |
As of November 11, President Joe Biden has appointed and the Senate has confirmed 213 Article III federal judges. Donald Trump was able to successfully appoint 234 Judges. (see: https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/11/politics/biden-senate-democrats-judicial-nominees/index.html). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Biden administration gets 235 or more Article III federal judges confirmed by January 19, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.