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Polymarket wallet 0xca1da33f22956e25a0a9770bdab9d8c04ed6512e · on Polymarket since Aug 30, 2024 · also shown as Sick-Highland
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ben Wikler be the next DNC chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed rate cut by September 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 90 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump win Mississippi by 20+ points?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Biden appoint more judges than Trump?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed rate cut by November 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 83 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed rate cut by December 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 91 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 681d | Will Biden appoint more judges than Trump? | BuyNo47¢ | $1 |
| 681d | Will Ben Wikler be the next DNC chair? | BuyYes43¢ | $1 |
| 723d | Will Trump win Mississippi by 20+ points? | BuyNo41¢ | $1 |
| 723d | Will Trump win Alabama by 30+ points? | BuyYes53¢ | $1 |
| 723d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes38¢ | $2 |
| 782d | No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 782d | Fed rate cut by December 18? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 782d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting? | BuyYes13¢ | $1 |
| 782d | No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting? | BuyYes12¢ | $1 |
| 782d | Fed rate cut by November 7? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 782d | Fed rate cut by September 18? | BuyNo4¢ | $4 |
| 782d | Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 6? | BuyNo68¢ | $3 |
| 782d | Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 6? | BuyYes33¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.