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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 872d | professorx | Will Biden let Ukraine strike Russia with US weapons? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,162 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 875d |  ImJustKen | Will Biden let Ukraine strike Russia with US weapons? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | +$18 +1.5% | 20 |
On May 30 it was reported that the Biden administration is reconsidering a longstanding precautionary measure of prohibiting the use of American-supplied weapons for strikes inside Russian territory (see: https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/ukraine-strike-inside-russia-using-us-weapons-biden-debate-nato-macron-rcna154442). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. allows Ukraine to use American-supplied weapons for attacks inside Russian territory by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming American weapons being used by Ukraine for attacks within Russia.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.