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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 456d | QMG-CORE2 fills | Will Bill Ackman announce NYC mayoral run before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,613 | −$15 −0.6% | — |
| 478d | QMG-CORE2 fills | Will Bill Ackman announce NYC mayoral run before August? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,519 | +$67 +2.6% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Ackman announces that he is running for Mayor of New York City in the 2025 mayoral election, by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Bill Ackman will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually files a nomination to run, or whether he later files a nomination. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Bill Ackman (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.