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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | −6 pts | — | 15¢ · 100¢ (85¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401d | Will Bullish (BLSH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,548 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
Bullish is scheduled to release earnings on 2025-09-17. The Bloomberg consensus estimate for Bullish's non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is -$0.04. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bullish reports non-GAAP EPS greater than -$0.04 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the summary financial earnings press release (Form 8-K) rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If that figure is not included in the Form 8-K, and if Bullish does not release non-GAAP EPS within 45 calendar days of the scheduled earnings announcement date this market will resolve to "No." Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from Bloomberg estimates. This field reflects the consensus estimate for non-GAAP EPS. The consensus estimate is the mean of sell-side analyst estimates.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.