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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206d | RichardLai2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,771 | −$29 −0.6% | — |
| 207d | slamjampeter7 fills | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $45,724 | −$317 −0.7% | — |
| 207d | win-win-win993 fills | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,993 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | frankxyz | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,337 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | Average-Beanie | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,002 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 208d |  RudeusGreyrat | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,762 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | hunayiyi1092 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,330 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 208d |  getrichall | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,508 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 208d |  CNPre2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,903 | −$18 −0.2% | — |
| 208d | WarpSpeed | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,993 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 208d |  MisterAnderson.eth2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $7,847 | −$30 −0.4% | — |
| 208d |  Talophex | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,237 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | tony901253 fills | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,426 | −$20 −0.3% | — |
| 208d | Brennor | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,464 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | Offbeat-Industrialisation | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,640 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | Jqulon | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,487 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | Sythos | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,586 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | MoronKiler2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $72,721 | +$270 +0.4% | 20 |
| 208d | 2828kk8 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,259 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 209d | Offbeat-Industrialisation | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,640 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 209d | Brennor | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,464 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 209d | Jqulon | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,487 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 209d | Sythos | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,586 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 209d | Lorvix | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,150 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 209d | Pzvorn | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,318 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 209d | Overcooked-Aluminum | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,463 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 209d |  TheRealestJOE | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,814 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 209d | Zyrion | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,552 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 209d | Nyvrix | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,819 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 209d | axieaduo | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,176 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 209d | baofu168 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,029 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 209d | Zyrion | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,554 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 209d | Pzvorn | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,320 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 209d | Nyvrix | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,821 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 209d | Overcooked-Aluminum | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,464 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 209d | Lorvix | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,152 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 209d | lngggg | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,814 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 209d | hkhhih | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,020 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 209d | wasabi. | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,979 | +$21 +0.1% | 20 |
| 210d | jygbiuhb | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,168 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 210d | jygbiuhb | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,170 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 210d | Olinar | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,595 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 210d | Qorvin | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,452 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 210d | zp888 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,226 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 210d | Samwellll | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,306 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 210d | nayiusohj1235 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,980 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 210d | Olinar | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,597 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 210d | Qorvin | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,453 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 210d | Sniveling-Impairment | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,830 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 211d | RYc9m49W8JC7jKeNk6i86FJDwB8m.U | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $90,650 | +$182 +0.2% | 20 |
| 211d | doQysuW7L9-U6xMX8Qgv | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,449 | −$19 −0.2% | — |
| 211d | 2100m4 fills | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $31,231 | +$65 +0.2% | 20 |
| 211d | weaklei19 fills | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $129,384 | +$1,301 +1.0% | 20 |
| 211d | antya | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $12,403 | −$37 −0.3% | — |
| 211d | fgh4656rt | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,063 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 211d | jytj5hrh | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,689 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 211d | OJASA | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,077 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 211d | shibagege11 fills | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $67,119 | −$286 −0.4% | — |
| 211d |  jamesonbondag | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,000 | +$17 +0.2% | 20 |
| 211d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,296 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
VolForce305 shares
littlepumpkinnn200 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.