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Polymarket wallet 0xf19e582ab2f376ff64f54b363a2d5e1411b17171 · on Polymarket since Aug 30, 2024 · also shown as Notable-Tendency
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 574 | 51¢ → 98¢ | $561 | +$269 +92% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $200 | +$4 +2.2% |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 433d | Yes | 100 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | No | 25 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $25 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | No | 23 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $23 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?Ends in 7d | No | 20 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 560 | 50¢ → 2¢ | $13 | −$267 −96% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.