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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 544d |  beibeidabest2 fills | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,797 | +$13 +0.1% | 10 |
| 544d | Ordon4 fills | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,060 | +$59 +0.2% | 10 |
| 544d |  andy29 | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | SellNo100¢ | $1,356 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 545d |  GayPride2 fills | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $21,700 | +$305 +1.4% | 10 |
| 545d | -JB- | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | +$14 +1.1% | 10 |
| 548d |  scottilicious | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,124 | +$138 +4.4% | 10 |
| 549d |  GUHHH | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,647 | −$113 −3.1% | — |
| 550d | OPMSucks | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,356 | −$49 −3.6% | — |
| 550d | buoys | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,049 | −$90 −4.4% | — |
| 551d | Fisher-Johnson | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,140 | −$309 −4.3% | — |
| 551d | AZwater | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,477 | +$186 +7.5% | 10 |
| 551d | Fisher-Johnson | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $6,500 | +$949 +15% | 11 |
| 552d |  Sivert | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | −$267 −18% | — |
| 552d |  New.Jeans | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,075 | −$1,075 −100% | 11 |
| 553d |  CPU | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,805 | +$312 +11% | 10 |
| 553d | affs207912 fills | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,352 | +$848 +19% | 10 |
| 555d |  gopfan2 | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,007 | −$1,007 −100% | 10 |
| 556d | wubddh | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,640 | +$360 +14% | 10 |
| 558d | lynx0 | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,630 | −$1,630 −100% | 12 |
| 558d | lug4 fills | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $6,911 | +$1,598 +23% | 10 |
| 559d |  dududududu2 fills | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $2,614 | −$2,614 −100% | 15 |
| 561d | Melody626 | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,382 | +$283 +20% | 10 |
| 562d | goingsocial | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,699 | −$210 −12% | — |
| 565d | Ineedhole3 fills | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $11,911 | +$2,467 +21% | 10 |
| 570d |  Wloczega | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,891 | +$931 +49% | 10 |
| 572d |  romanroy | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | SellNo57¢ → 100¢ | $2,013 | −$1,495 −74% | — |
Boomersson6,768 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Conservative Party has a greater polling average than the Liberal Party on any date between March 25, and April 27, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the CBCNews Poll Tracker, https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines located on the line graph. The polling average will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for April 27 is not published by April 30, 12:00 PM noon, the market will resolve according to all previously published data points. Changes in the methodology by which CBCNews calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If CBCNews polling becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “No”. Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The aggregator must show the Conservative Party with a greater polling average than the Liberal Party.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.