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Polymarket wallet 0x04c3045da7e7896f9444cfce96af135e9962eb1f · on Polymarket since Apr 26, 2025 · also shown as Optimal-Wedge
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,737 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$675 −100% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,795 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,257 −100% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,653 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$678 −100% |
| Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 102,700 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,211 −100% |
| Will Mark Carney lose his seat?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,258 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,150 −100% |
| Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17,337 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 545d | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BuyYes23¢ | $278 |
| 545d | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyYes7¢ | $6,100 |
| 545d | Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%? | BuyYes6¢ | $678 |
| 545d | Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%? | BuyYes8¢ | $675 |
| 545d | Will Mark Carney lose his seat? | BuyYes6¢ | $1,150 |
| 545d | Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | BuyYes3¢ | $500 |
| 545d | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyYes7¢ | $1,111 |
| 545d | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BuyYes21¢ | $979 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.