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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 100% | +90 pts | +74 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 31 | 100% | +74 pts | +66 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 367d | FlaccidWillie | October 31 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,947 | −$75 −2.5% | — |
| 367d | AB2 | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,005 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 367d | October 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,243 | +$70 +2.1% | 20 | |
| 430d | Burke2020 | October 31 | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,346 | −$622 −46% | — |
| 435d | Burke2020 | October 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | +$33 +2.3% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Railbird will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with DraftKings (DraftKings Inc.) by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Railbird or DraftKings will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition or merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DraftKings or Railbird; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 100%.