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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 601d |  XAE12Archangel | Will Elon be worth $500b before March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,249 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 608d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Will Elon be worth $500b before March? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,088 | +$23 +1.1% | 4 |
| 608d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Will Elon be worth $500b before March? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,463 | −$22 −1.5% | — |
| 623d | LeoXIV | Will Elon be worth $500b before March? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,857 | +$140 +7.5% | 4 |
| 638d |  BigRon | Will Elon be worth $500b before March? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$480 +47% | 4 |
| 639d |  Parz1vaI | Will Elon be worth $500b before March? | SellNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,905 | −$1,270 −67% | — |
| 640d | Parz1vaI | Will Elon be worth $500b before March? | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | +$1,233 +77% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's net worth, as listed on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, reaches or exceeds $500 billion at any point by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.