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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 470d | Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,863 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 470d | 0x373c…b14e | Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 471d | yyyyyyy3 fills | Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,919 | +$40 +0.4% | 4 |
| 472d | P1kaso | Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | +$14 +0.7% | 4 |
| 472d | wubddh | Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,963 | +$37 +0.7% | 4 |
| 472d | Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 473d | applesandbananas | Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,604 | +$15 +0.9% | 4 |
| 473d | Gdub | Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$20 +1.1% | 4 |
| 473d | Dingoose | Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$30 +2.0% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly refers to Donald Trump as a "pedophile" between July 7, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and July 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Comments that merely insinuate or imply that Trump is a pedophile—without explicitly using the term—will not qualify. For example, the post at https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1942132189229162960 would not qualify. Musk must use the word "pedophile" or a direct variant such as "pedo" or "pedophilic" in reference to Donald Trump. A direct reference will qualify even if Trump is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear he is the subject. Describing Trump as a pedophile without using one of the qualifying terms will not count. Statements such as “I would not refer to Trump as a pedophile” or “I have never called Trump a pedophile” will not qualify, as they do not constitute a direct usage of the qualifying terms in reference to Trump. Any written or verbal usage will qualify. The resolution source will be public statements from Elon Musk.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.