| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 2,000 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $39 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 237 | 8¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$17 −84% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,112 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 658 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be 70 or higher?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,004 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,103 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19,770 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$142 −100% |
| Jony Ive out at OpenAI before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,613 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 625–649 times August 8–August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 459 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 667 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 4–11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| OpenAI browser in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Elon no longer world's richest before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 960 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will OpenAI acquire Chrome before before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 718 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 531 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 550–574 times August 8–August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 311 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 968 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $100-108m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,536 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Stargate" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 91 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 4–11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Genocide" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 227 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 129 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,029 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 209 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,035 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 175 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $13m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,625 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,429 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Missing Epstein cell footage released before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 580 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Pump.fun announces public raise sold out on Day One?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 143 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,508 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 12 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Grok be the next CEO of X?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 420 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Trump issue a Gold Card before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,008 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,111 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 4–11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 161 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 270 or more times July 4–11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Fuck" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 719 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,387 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 92 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - April 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 22 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 4–11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 218 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 731 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 846 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 4–11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,011 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Sheryl Sandberg be the next CEO of X?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 605 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,468 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57 −100% |
| Will Rachel Reeves leave Starner’s cabinet by July 15th?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 949 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $9m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,022 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 124 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,146 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 222 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 128 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 342 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 479 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 322 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $108-116m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,069 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet less than 450 times August 8–August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,093 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 219 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 286 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 4–11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 140 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 255–269 times July 4–11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 202 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $100m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,398 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Tom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 556 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 600–624 times August 8–August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 291 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 469 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 227 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon visit the Western Wall before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 260 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 750 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 4–11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,207 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 210 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,231 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$98 −100% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,003 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on July 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 29, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 686 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 111 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 238 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Elon" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 321 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,815 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 11–18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 530 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Khamenei before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 512 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 95 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
