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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 434d |  Tenebrus7 | Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | −$59 −5.3% | — |
| 461d | 1.3m | Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,711 | −$109 −6.4% | — |
| 461d | 1.3m | Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,729 | +$91 +5.3% | 4 |
| 486d | mohitshah9920 | Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,404 | +$90 +6.4% | 4 |
bigbrainUser200 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led by him, enters into an agreement to buy OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announced agreement between Elon Musk and OpenAI will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. An agreement to merge with an entity led by Elon Musk will count toward "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk, Sam Altman, and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.