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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 818d | professorx | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,558 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 818d | xoxooxox | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,033 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 818d |  AgricultureSecretary | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,438 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 818d |  truthteller2 fills | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,264 | −$27 −0.3% | — |
| 818d | cobrajoe | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,190 | −$78 −2.4% | — |
| 818d |  mewmew1 | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,927 | −$28 −0.7% | — |
| 818d |  elmcap2 | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,711 | +$155 +1.1% | 2 |
| 818d | wasusdas | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,457 | −$59 −4.0% | — |
| 818d |  ImJustKen | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,662 | +$138 +8.3% | 2 |
| 818d | skeptaaaaaa | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,180 | −$191 −8.8% | — |
| 818d |  094321 fills | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $205,471 | +$24,913 +12% | 3 |
| 818d | 0xmetaclass | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$67 +6.1% | 2 |
| 818d | ShyLOCKz | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$120 +6.4% | 2 |
| 818d | roaringkitty123400 | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$78 +6.5% | 2 |
| 818d |  kingsirpredictionconnoisseur | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,710 | +$133 +7.8% | 2 |
| 818d | truthteller2 fills | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,036 | +$664 +16% | 2 |
| 818d | Those-PetitionNew account | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $10,768 | −$10,768 −100% | 20 |
| 818d | Lfg123 | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,245 | −$1,245 −100% | 4 |
| 818d | Those-PetitionNew account | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | SellYes6¢ → 0¢ | $2,169 | +$2,169 +100% | — |
| 818d | cobrajoe | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,860 | +$407 +14% | 2 |
| 818d |  coby4 fills | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $20,847 | +$4,659 +22% | 2 |
| 818d | Treadmilled11 fills | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $58,471 | +$10,648 +18% | 3 |
| 818d |  McDonalds-Employee2 fills | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$2,855 +29% | 2 |
| 818d |  50Whence | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $2,764 | +$1,162 +42% | 2 |
| 818d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | SellNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | −$883 −61% | — |
| 818d | blan | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $4,889 | −$4,889 −100% | 5 |
| 818d | Inexperienced-PresenceNew account | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $10,098 | +$1,056 +10% | 3 |
| 818d | PresidentBiden | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $14,426 | −$14,426 −100% | 2 |
| 818d | 50Whence | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $2,071 | −$2,071 −100% | 6 |
| 818d | elmcap24 fills | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $13,247 | −$13,247 −100% | 13 |
| 818d | 22002200 | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $12,867 | +$2,451 +19% | 2 |
| 818d |  tomxeth2 fills | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $13,687 | +$1,600 +12% | 2 |
| 818d |  MarekyMarek | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,677 | +$296 +18% | 2 |
| 818d | 0xac8db3b4afea21b73ffdc92fjk | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $8,625 | +$1,518 +18% | 2 |
| 818d | FTXrisk | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,012 | +$328 +16% | 2 |
| 818d |  fhantombets | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $4,231 | +$757 +18% | 2 |
| 818d |  Kickstand7 | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,125 | +$375 +18% | 2 |
| 818d | GCRClassic | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | SellYes8¢ → 0¢ | $2,434 | +$2,434 +100% | — |
| 818d | nftsformike2 fills | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $9,344 | +$2,263 +24% | 2 |
| 818d |  Zimagetsfox-968 | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $3,315 | −$3,315 −100% | 9 |
| 818d | mewmew1 | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | +$362 +15% | 2 |
| 818d | GCRClassic3 fills | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $6,044 | −$6,044 −100% | 11 |
| 818d | FTXrisk | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | SellYes14¢ → 0¢ | $2,012 | +$2,012 +100% | — |
| 818d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly3 fills | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $9,027 | +$1,348 +15% | 2 |
| 818d | ShyLOCKz | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,674 | −$403 −24% | — |
| 818d | polywannacracker2 fills | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$598 +23% | 3 |
| 818d | Solejuk | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$275 +26% | 2 |
| 818d | 0xmaniac3 fills | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $12,000 | −$2,325 −19% | — |
| 818d | P | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,186 | −$1,186 −100% | 3 |
| 818d | tomxeth | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,880 | −$120 −2.0% | — |
| 818d |  Car | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,732 | −$101 −1.8% | — |
| 819d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,295 | −$33 −1.0% | — |
| 819d | vikki2 fills | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,177 | +$141 +2.0% | 2 |
| 819d | Car | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,443 | +$57 +2.3% | 2 |
| 819d | Plaintive-ElkNew account | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,502 | −$1,502 −100% | 8 |
| 819d | viltalik | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,598 | +$309 +6.7% | 3 |
| 820d | Conduit2 | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,710 | +$250 +5.3% | 2 |
| 820d |  🍝👹 | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | +$91 +7.5% | 2 |
| 820d | bidenfan69 | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | −$61 −5.3% | — |
| 821d | Bidensupporter123 | Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$117 +11% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a speaker at the 2024 Nashville Bitcoin Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Elon Musk will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly gives a speech to a Bitcoin Conference crowd on-stage at the conference. Simply appearing on-stage, or participating in an interview will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually give a speech.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.