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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 661d | gelidizhi3 | Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,103 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 661d | VvVv | Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.? | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,970 | +$30 +0.1% | 4 |
| 661d |  yns | Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,613 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 661d |  DEGENKHAN | Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,523 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 661d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 705d | LiquidElk4 fills | Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $25,391 | +$2,152 +8.5% | 4 |
| 714d |  ImJustKen | Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $17,983 | +$1,564 +8.7% | 4 |
Elon Musk's Daughter Vivian Wilson recently announced her intention to move out of the U.S. (see: https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/elon-musk-daughter-donald-trump-b2643223.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's Daughter Vivian Wilson is confirmed to have moved outside of the U.S. by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Temporarily leaving the United States for a vacation or other short term excursions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence that Vivian Wilson no longer lives in the United Staes, including explicit confirmation from Wilson.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.