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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400d |  SPIT | Will Fedex (FDX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$42 +4.2% | 4 |
ChrisL21285 sharesFedex Corp is scheduled to release earnings on 2025-09-18. The Bloomberg consensus estimate for Fedex Corp's non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.62. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fedex Corp reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $3.62 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the summary financial earnings press release (Form 8-K) rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If that figure is not included in the Form 8-K, and if Fedex Corp does not release non-GAAP EPS within 45 calendar days of the scheduled earnings announcement date this market will resolve to "No." Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from the Bloomberg Estimates (BEst EPS:Q) Earnings Per Share (EPS) field. This field reflects the consensus estimate for adjusted earnings per share. The consensus estimate is the mean of sell-side analyst estimates.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.