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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 713d | PrinceHal3 fills | Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points? | SellYes78¢ → 0¢ | $6,234 | +$6,234 +100% | — |
| 714d | poptree | Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points? | SellYes83¢ → 0¢ | $12,438 | +$12,438 +100% | — |
| 714d | operationcastle2 fills | Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points? | SellYes85¢ → 0¢ | $12,117 | +$12,117 +100% | — |
| 714d | Jason.Xu | Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points? | SellYes75¢ → 0¢ | $2,155 | +$2,155 +100% | — |
| 715d | Jason.Xu | Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points? | BuyYes84¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 10 |
| 717d | 1mperator17 | Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points? | BuyYes88¢ → 0¢ | $1,058 | −$1,058 −100% | 10 |
| 717d | 1mperator17 | Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points? | BuyNo29¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$2,840 +245% | 11 |
| 717d | poptree2 fills | Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points? | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $7,500 | −$7,500 −100% | 10 |
| 717d | operationcastle | Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points? | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $8,000 | −$8,000 −100% | 10 |
| 717d | PrinceHal | Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points? | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Yes” if Deb Fischer wins the popular vote in the 2024 Nebraska U.S. Senate election by 7.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Deb Fischer and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2024 Nebraska U.S. Senate election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once this state has certified the vote. If a recount is initiated before certification, this market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.