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Polymarket wallet 0xd73a56931c7d763ef741ccf14e6c9f60666d6ec1 · on Polymarket since Oct 9, 2024 · also shown as Thorny-Caramel
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 11 | 71¢ → 95¢ | $11 | +$3 +33% |
| Harris wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Kamala wins 319-219 - swing state sweepSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| CA-47 election: Min (D) vs. Baugh (R)Settled - ready to redeem | Baugh | 3 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin hits $80k before election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| RFK Jr & Cheryl Hines divorce in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121d | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BuyNo71¢ | $8 |
| 400d | Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September? | BuyNo84¢ | $19 |
| 724d | Bitcoin hits $80k before election? | BuyYes19¢ | $1 |
| 724d | Harris wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA? | BuyYes14¢ | $1 |
| 724d | Kamala wins 319-219 - swing state sweep | BuyYes9¢ | $0 |
| 724d | Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points? | BuyYes36¢ | $1 |
| 724d | CA-47 election: Min (D) vs. Baugh (R) | BuyBaugh37¢ | $1 |
| 745d | OpenSea blocks US users in 2024? | SellNo94¢ | $2 |
| 745d | Will Qualcomm acquire Intel? | SellNo97¢ | $2 |
| 745d | Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,125 |
| 745d | RFK Jr & Cheryl Hines divorce in 2024? | BuyYes26¢ | $1 |
| 745d | Will Qualcomm acquire Intel? | BuyNo99¢ | $2 |
| 745d | OpenSea blocks US users in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ | $2 |
| 745d | Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first? | Buy$400042¢ | $1 |
| 745d | KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100? | BuyNo88¢ | $0 |
| 745d | Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,130 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.