Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 13% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 12¢ · 14¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d |  m0rt | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,813 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 296d |  jesterthegoose | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,448 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | m0rt | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,452 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 307d |  scottilicious | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,694 | +$23 +1.4% | 20 |
| 307d |  GollumGekko | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo80¢ → 87¢ | $1,810 | +$158 +8.7% | 20 |
| 360d |  TheAugur | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | +$65 +5.3% | 20 |
ImJustKen3,440 shares
AnEggplant300 shares
Belgaron739 shares
StupidMonkeyyy171 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 13¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 13%.