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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 792d | gilbert | Will George Bush speak at the DNC? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,428 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 792d | Will George Bush speak at the DNC? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,282 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 792d | copy4259 | Will George Bush speak at the DNC? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 792d | PM777 | Will George Bush speak at the DNC? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 792d | Will George Bush speak at the DNC? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,329 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 792d | 5423235 | Will George Bush speak at the DNC? | BuyYes3¢ → 0¢ | $1,230 | −$1,230 −100% | 6 |
| 792d | Will George Bush speak at the DNC? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,288 | +$190 +2.0% | 4 | |
| 792d | Will George Bush speak at the DNC? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $37,293 | +$1,133 +3.0% | 4 | |
| 792d | TRUMPMAGA2 fills | Will George Bush speak at the DNC? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,447 | +$71 +2.0% | 4 |
| 792d | Will George Bush speak at the DNC? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $35,746 | +$1,030 +2.9% | 4 | |
| 792d | 0xac8db3b4afea21b73ffdc92fjk | Will George Bush speak at the DNC? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,940 | +$60 +2.0% | 4 |
| 792d | Will George Bush speak at the DNC? | BuyYes3¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 5 | |
| 792d | Will George Bush speak at the DNC? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,136 | −$64 −3.0% | — | |
| 792d | Healthy-Baseball | Will George Bush speak at the DNC? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | +$41 +3.5% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former US President George W. Bush is a speaker at the Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This person will be considered a "speaker" if they publicly speak in-person at the convention to an audience. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Democratic party, including footage from the convention, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.