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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 295d | aviato2 fills | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,917 | +$22 +0.2% | 4 |
| 296d | LTaker | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,400 | −$48 −1.1% | — |
| 297d | LTaker2 fills | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,777 | +$352 +13% | 4 |
| 302d | big6big84 fills | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,847 | +$321 +3.0% | 4 |
| 313d | samponcudinti | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,699 | −$79 −4.7% | — |
| 315d | 6420 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | −$73 −6.4% | — |
| 315d | wexjoe2 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,465 | +$476 +32% | 4 |
| 326d | marketel | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026? | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$700 +54% | 4 |
| 326d | Aleseed | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026? | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | +$1,050 +54% | 4 |
BronsonTheCant1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that Half-Life 3 is in production by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "Half-Life 3" (e.g., Half-Life: Alyx, Half-Life 2: Episode One) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution. The game must have the words "Half-Life 3" in the title to qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.