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Polymarket wallet 0xc2365e90222b3961e9894b9f1d0c42bfc6f4e8d5 · on Polymarket since Dec 2, 2025 · also shown as Frayed-Turtle
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 52¢ → 100¢ | $17 | +$8 +92% |
| Venezuela ParlaySettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" or "Skedaddle" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,349 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberSettled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 322d | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BuyNo<1¢ | $20 |
| 325d | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026? | BuyNo52¢ | $9 |
| 325d | Will Trump say "Nuclear" or "Skedaddle" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2? | BuyNo39¢ | $6 |
| 325d | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BuyNo5¢ | $15 |
| 325d | Venezuela Parlay | BuyYes15¢ | $3 |
| 325d | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $5 |
| 325d | Nothing Ever Happens: December | BuyNo47¢ | $2 |
| 325d | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BuyNo5¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.