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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 661d | 3r3rsdfs | Will Hamas allow IDF to remain in Gaza? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,086 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 662d | Will Hamas allow IDF to remain in Gaza? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,319 | +$21 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 668d | KokoVeLeon3 | Will Hamas allow IDF to remain in Gaza? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | −$146 −14% | — |
| 669d | opop5678955 | Will Hamas allow IDF to remain in Gaza? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$172 +17% | 4 |
| 669d | KokoVeLeon33 fills | Will Hamas allow IDF to remain in Gaza? | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $3,644 | +$2,608 +72% | 4 |
| 672d | 0x2370…0e10 | Will Hamas allow IDF to remain in Gaza? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,556 | +$473 +30% | 4 |
| 673d | lineth | Will Hamas allow IDF to remain in Gaza? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,785 | +$1,251 +45% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement which allows for Israeli military forces to continue to operate within the Gaza strip by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any deal which is either announced by both parties, or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the government of Israel and Hamas, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting that a deal has been agreed to.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.