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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1064d |  ImJustKen | Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,298 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 1064d |  50Whence3 fills | Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $6,488 | +$745 +11% | 21 |
| 1064d |  intelmarketmaker | Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,311 | +$67 +5.1% | 20 |
| 1065d | DeFi | Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,402 | −$1,402 −100% | 22 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases 20 or more hostages in any 24-hour period between November 15 and November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a negotiated release of hostages will trigger a "Yes" resolution. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon the release of 20+ hostages in a 24 hour period. If Hamas releases hostages on the last day within this market's range, the 24 hour period will commence starting with the release of the first hostage (e.g. if a first hostage is released on Nov 30, 2 PM ET, the 24h period will be from Nov 30, 2 PM ET to Dec 1, 2 PM ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
