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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1073d | anonim2 fills | Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,816 | +$262 +9.3% | 4 |
| 1076d |  ImJustKen | Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,547 | +$153 +9.9% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah officially declares war on Israel by December 31, 2023 11:59 PM ET. Declarations of war must be clear and explicit. The market will resolve to "No" if no such official declaration of war is made by the specified date. Note that Israel or Hamas declaring war is not considered for this market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.