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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 876d | neezduts-028 | Will Israel halt Rafah operation in May? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,535 | +$49 +1.9% | 5 |
| 878d |  WashTrade | Will Israel halt Rafah operation in May? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$60 +4.2% | 4 |
| 880d |  ImJustKen | Will Israel halt Rafah operation in May? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,371 | +$113 +8.3% | 5 |
On May 24, 2024, the ICJ ordered Israel to halt its military assault on the city of Rafah, in the Gaza strip. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel announces that they are halting offensive ground operations in Rafah by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Israel that they are halting offensive ground operations will suffice for a “Yes” resolution even if the operation continues in practice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
