Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 936d | professorx | Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,425 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 940d | LiverisKing | Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | −$15 −1.4% | — |
| 945d |  ANudeEgg | Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,941 | −$64 −3.3% | — |
| 948d | ANudeEgg2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,898 | +$230 +4.7% | 20 |
| 955d | LoseSavings | Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$66 +6.4% | 20 |
| 955d |  ImJustKen3 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $10,841 | +$933 +8.6% | 20 |
| 963d |  Cringe Wizard | Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,197 | −$300 −14% | — |
| 967d | Cringe Wizard | Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,322 | +$175 +7.5% | 20 |
| 968d |  BigMike11 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | −$160 −8.7% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Lebanon, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.