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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 906d | professorx3 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before May? | BuyNo>99¢ | $31,948 | +$32 +0.1% | 20 |
| 906d | polyproguy | Will Israel invade Lebanon before May? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 907d |  ANudeEgg | Will Israel invade Lebanon before May? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,365 | +$14 +0.6% | 20 |
| 909d |  BigMike11 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before May? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,469 | +$32 +2.1% | 20 |
| 911d | Gdub2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before May? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,740 | +$181 +3.2% | 20 |
| 912d | Ponj | Will Israel invade Lebanon before May? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,728 | +$87 +3.2% | 20 |
| 912d | ASOFE | Will Israel invade Lebanon before May? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,611 | −$89 −3.4% | — |
| 915d |  ImJustKen | Will Israel invade Lebanon before May? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,483 | +$218 +2.6% | 20 |
| 917d | Anon55662 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before May? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,289 | +$133 +4.0% | 20 |
| 931d | mysticzed2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before May? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,554 | +$374 +8.2% | 20 |
| 946d |  Reini1860 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before May? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$241 +10% | 20 |
mert1 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Lebanon, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.