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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 784d |  just.some.guy7 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $18,474 | −$8,426 −46% | — |
| 785d |  FTX2.02 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,444 | −$184 −1.2% | — |
| 785d | anon15653 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $14,510 | +$601 +4.1% | 20 |
| 785d | bama1244 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $30,574 | +$1,173 +3.8% | 20 |
| 786d |  scottilicious | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,562 | +$38 +1.1% | 20 |
| 788d | bluejay | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,846 | +$88 +3.1% | 20 |
| 789d | Distinct-Squirrel | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,099 | +$164 +5.3% | 20 |
| 790d | rom7eo | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,759 | +$241 +6.4% | 20 |
| 790d |  grugzilla3 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $8,747 | +$1,121 +13% | 20 |
| 790d |  WashTrade3 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $5,218 | +$1,089 +21% | 20 |
| 790d | Bidensupporter1233 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,851 | +$646 +11% | 20 |
| 790d | WashTrade4 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $14,089 | −$1,368 −9.7% | — |
| 790d |  raise4info2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,074 | +$556 +14% | 21 |
| 790d | NebulousVirtue | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,368 | −$151 −6.4% | — |
| 791d |  Mr-Yolos3 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,669 | −$498 −5.7% | — |
| 792d | Mr-Yolos | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,665 | +$106 +6.4% | 20 |
| 795d |  rivella | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,675 | −$88 −5.3% | — |
| 795d |  ImJustKen7 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $14,897 | +$6,845 +46% | 20 |
| 796d |  JohnWhyNot | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$128 +6.4% | 20 |
| 796d |  TheGermanGuy-376 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | −$108 −10% | — |
| 797d | Kingking178 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,116 | −$209 −9.9% | — |
| 798d |  XiJinPing-4782 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,594 | +$241 +9.3% | 20 |
| 799d | wlkr12 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $9,136 | +$1,076 +12% | 20 |
| 800d | tsll | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $18,245 | −$2,744 −15% | — |
| 801d | Miracle007 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,346 | +$456 +14% | 20 |
| 802d |  0xloren | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $8,601 | +$1,235 +14% | 20 |
| 802d | tsll2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $16,309 | +$2,818 +17% | 20 |
| 802d | Kingking178 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$326 +16% | 20 |
| 802d | bama124 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $7,864 | −$1,446 −18% | — |
| 803d |  TelegramTeleblog | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,573 | +$256 +16% | 20 |
| 804d | Xav | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,387 | +$714 +16% | 20 |
| 804d |  50Whence | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | +$225 +18% | 20 |
| 805d | hsakaisold | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | SellYes16¢ → 0¢ | $3,204 | +$3,204 +100% | — |
| 805d | tinman22 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,483 | +$688 +28% | 20 |
| 806d | wlkr13 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $7,575 | −$1,337 −18% | — |
| 806d |  HarrySholes | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | SellYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,965 | +$1,965 +100% | — |
| 806d | CaptBluetooth | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 21 |
| 808d |  MALDEMER3 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $4,941 | +$2,708 +55% | 20 |
| 808d | hur2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $4,651 | −$4,651 −100% | 25 |
| 808d |  hot-0973 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $6,335 | −$2,715 −43% | — |
| 809d | Dufu | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $7,068 | +$3,109 +44% | 20 |
| 809d | FTX2.04 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $6,687 | +$3,360 +50% | 20 |
| 810d | MALDEMER2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | SellNo66¢ → 100¢ | $4,406 | −$2,295 −52% | — |
| 810d |  DumplingBMF2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $2,223 | −$1,171 −53% | — |
| 811d | hsakaisold2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $7,357 | −$7,357 −100% | 26 |
| 811d | FuzzyBear3 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $4,025 | +$2,101 +52% | 20 |
| 811d | Isaac-polymarket | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,788 | +$1,788 +100% | — |
| 811d | Isaac-polymarket | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,918 | −$1,918 −100% | 22 |
| 812d | SakigiriEffect | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | SellYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,035 | +$1,035 +100% | — |
| 813d | HarrySholes5 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $15,319 | −$15,319 −100% | 20 |
| 813d | panna | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,846 | −$1,846 −100% | 22 |
| 814d | Euxeus | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,494 | −$1,494 −100% | 21 |
| 814d |  Molek | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$491 +47% | 20 |
| 815d |  Blunderton2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | SellNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,814 | −$1,452 −52% | — |
| 815d | Blunderton | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$677 +64% | 20 |
| 815d | just.some.guy5 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $12,921 | +$7,177 +56% | 20 |
| 816d | RD29 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | +$1,197 +100% | 20 |
| 816d | sdiff123 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,095 | −$1,095 −100% | 20 |
| 816d | puzzycrank | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$669 +67% | 20 |
| 817d | sirenian2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$2,095 +52% | 20 |
Bardella2 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon between May 29, 2024 and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Lebanon, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.