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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −32 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 746d |  aldynspeedruns2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $18,893 | +$3,573 +19% | 20 |
| 746d | route4 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,514 | +$49 +0.2% | 20 |
| 746d |  ANudeEgg2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $86,192 | +$1,076 +1.2% | 20 |
| 746d | aldynspeedruns4 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $43,474 | −$19,544 −45% | — |
| 746d |  Pidor🐓 | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,994 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 746d |  HaterzLoserz9 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyYes6¢ → 0¢ | $36,844 | −$36,844 −100% | 47 |
| 746d | longtern | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,285 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 746d |  AgricultureSecretary | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,330 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 746d |  Skankhunt42.3 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,936 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 746d | ArtKlaus | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,775 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 746d |  Ferguson0500Turd4 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $209,788 | +$4,996 +2.4% | 20 |
| 746d |  palisade4 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $157,624 | +$10,215 +6.5% | 20 |
| 746d | Breezy-Entrance5 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $18,866 | +$7,263 +38% | 20 |
| 746d |  sorcerer.02 | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo>99¢ | $35,201 | +$35 +0.1% | 20 |
| 746d | poptree7 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $119,485 | +$6,347 +5.3% | 20 |
| 746d |  WordleAddict | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,080 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 746d |  Uselink | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,167 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 746d |  scout2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo>99¢ | $103,391 | +$135 +0.1% | 20 |
| 746d | Klein-Bottle-Capital-Management | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,549 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 746d | PM777 | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 746d | darleneKotlin2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,059 | −$165 −4.1% | — |
| 746d |  carp11 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $98,414 | −$4,537 −4.6% | — |
| 746d |  DancingonMarshmellos | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,372 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 746d | tf2 | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 746d | 0xfe91…70ff2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,836 | −$154 −1.1% | — |
| 746d |  peasant | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,194 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 746d | Ferguson0500Turd | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo>99¢ | $204,104 | −$204 −0.1% | — |
| 746d | ohooho | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,649 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 746d |  0xloren | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo>99¢ | $21,258 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 746d | Cathedra | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,012 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 746d |  endo2 | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 746d |  MEGABASED2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,972 | −$357 −6.0% | — |
| 746d |  Dr.Awkcab | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,651 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 746d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 746d | SlavaUkraini | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo>99¢ | $182,202 | +$182 +0.1% | 20 |
| 746d | fkarasek3 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $33,268 | −$1,468 −4.4% | — |
| 746d |  raise4info4 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $35,805 | +$6,183 +17% | 20 |
| 746d |  0xPolymath2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $14,229 | −$2,022 −14% | — |
| 746d |  Car5 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $36,521 | +$5,987 +16% | 20 |
| 746d |  Parz1vaI | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 746d |  50Whence2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $65,722 | +$1,447 +2.2% | 20 |
| 746d | carp7 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $64,361 | +$4,030 +6.3% | 20 |
| 746d | DancingonMarshmellos4 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $16,491 | +$4,495 +27% | 20 |
| 746d | tf2 | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $96,175 | +$1,033 +1.1% | 20 |
| 746d | RMupOnly | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | −$24 −1.8% | — |
| 746d |  scottilicious20 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $125,323 | +$21,824 +17% | 20 |
| 746d | Nonstop-Disclosure | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,153 | +$92 +2.2% | 20 |
| 746d |  Secret14thKey5 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $75,144 | +$3,285 +4.4% | 20 |
| 746d |  TimeQuestion2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,673 | −$187 −3.3% | — |
| 746d | AcidBurn952 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $13,592 | +$510 +3.8% | 20 |
| 746d |  456ythgbvcadscvb2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,742 | +$95 +2.5% | 20 |
| 746d |  qsalz | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,775 | +$62 +3.5% | 20 |
| 746d | -LeeroyJenkins- | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $33,182 | −$1,498 −4.5% | — |
| 746d | hmmmmm-365 | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,269 | −$70 −3.1% | — |
| 746d | theyreTellingYouTheTruth | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $41,506 | −$1,240 −3.0% | — |
| 746d |  Dr.ChristmasJones | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,751 | −$199 −2.0% | — |
| 746d |  Tentaclecracy | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,516 | −$40 −2.7% | — |
| 746d |  Qualitative | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$26 +2.3% | 20 |
| 746d |  kingsirpredictionconnoisseur2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,509 | −$180 −7.2% | — |
| 746d | therealbatman11 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $265,121 | +$197K +74% | 20 |
misterpip3 shares
bublik33 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon between September 17, 2024 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Lebanon, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.