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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 528d |  HNIC4 fills | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $18,381 | +$2,042 +11% | 20 |
| 529d | z0vulon2 fills | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,735 | −$47 −1.3% | — |
| 530d | bran1322 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 531d | nedsta | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,412 | −$29 −2.0% | — |
| 532d |  scottilicious3 fills | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $30,111 | +$4,054 +13% | 21 |
| 533d | z0vulon | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,623 | +$95 +3.6% | 20 |
| 534d | Shikamaru.DM | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,593 | +$275 +4.2% | 20 |
| 535d | Kevindoto2 fills | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,956 | +$184 +6.2% | 20 |
| 536d |  MisTKy3 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,825 | +$329 +18% | 20 |
| 536d | N3kro | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $5,671 | +$1,249 +22% | 20 |
| 536d |  MEPP2 fills | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,765 | −$727 −26% | — |
| 536d |  just.some.guy | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,906 | −$255 −13% | — |
| 536d | Sorrymissjackson3 fills | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $6,700 | −$6,700 −100% | 27 |
| 536d | MEPP | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $2,862 | +$1,346 +47% | 20 |
Cipabipa5 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza between May 5, 9:00 PM ET, and May 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.